Sorry, Rick Santorum. Chuck Norris has it in for you.

It’s official. Rick Santorum has earned the ire of Walker, Texas Ranger. Game over.

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Wikipedia to Go Offline in Protest of Pending Legislation

Wikipedia is going to go dark for 24 hours in protest of litigation its founders believe compromises the openness of the internet and availability of information. Their explanation here is here. A brief message with the opportunity to look up (if you don’t already know) your Representative and Senators to contact them is on their main page.

CNN has more on the story here.

Politico has an explanation of the Stop Online Piracy Act (SOPA) and the Protect IP Act (PIPA) here.

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Romney Wins Again, But Entire Field Moves on to South Carolina

Tonight, Mitt Romney claimed his second nomination contest victory, putting him leaps and bounds ahead of the rest of the field. While the actual number of delegates he needs to win is still a long way off, it’s getting harder to see another of the GOP challengers taking the lead away from him. Romney was expected to win in New Hampshire, being more or less his home state, but South Carolina may prove to be a bit more of a contest. In addition, the first of the southern states is a “winner take all” contest, meaning the losing candidates won’t be taking any delegates with them. Were Romney to lose there on January 21st, it would instantly breathe a whole new life into the campaign of the winner.

I don’t think Ron Paul can win in South Carolina. He has his base of support, and is increasingly difficult to ignore, but isn’t going to win any state outright. I don’t see him dropping out after losing in South Carolina, though. He likes to buck the system and wants to make as big of a point as he can about the issues that he’s campaigning about, even if he knows that he isn’t going to win the nomination.

The three candidates all claiming to be the “real” conservative are probably going to split right-wing vote, and keep each other from really digging into Romney’s lead. Santorum, Gingrich and Perry all have what I believe to be fatal flaws which will deny them the nomination, and the longer that they all stay in, the harder it will be for either of the other two to gain any traction. If they do badly, I could easily see any one of them drop out. A poor finish in South Carolina is going to drain the coffers of any candidate, especially one of these three, since donors may start looking to throw their money at the more conservative candidate that has the best chance of catching up to Romney.

That leaves Jon Huntsman, who has only been an afterthought to much of the electorate until recently. His third place finish in New Hampshire (behind Romney and Ron Paul at number 2) didn’t exactly startle anyone, but it was higher than the expectations of a few days ago. The problem is that he spent all of his time in New Hampshire, only to walk away with around 17% of the vote, a few delegates, and low polling numbers so far in the next state up for grabs. The Huntsman team believes they have a bit of an advantage in Florida, the next battleground after South Carolina, as Mrs. Huntsman hails from the Sunshine State, so we may see his campaign stay in even after a tough outing in South Carolina.

If only one of Santorum, Gingrich or Perry were running, we might see a different result in South Carolina, which has a lot of conservative, evangelical voters. As it is, however, with none of the candidates dropping out after tonight’s primary, it looks likely that Mitt Romney’s march to the nomination will continue next week.

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Really, Super Committee?

Really? You couldn’t come up with anything?

The Super Committee to Determine This Nation’s Future did nothing last week. Tasked with finding $1.2 trillion in reductions for our national debt (a number that is absolutely huge, unless you’re counting stars, atoms, or this country’s debt) and putting that proposal up for a vote in the Congress – the twelve esteemed members of the committee came up with a goose egg.

It didn’t matter that the Republicans control the House and the Democrats control the Senate, so either party could vote strictly along party lines to derail the proposal. It didn’t matter that the plan could actually have been THE WORST IDEA IN THE HISTORY OF THE WORLD – they couldn’t agree on anything. John Kerry could have walked out of the meeting, strolled up to the microphone, and said with absolute certainty that it would never happen, “Well, uh, we figured out that we can beat this deficit thing if we just get rid the Coast Guard. Well the Coast Guard and Medicare. And that ‘Death Race 2000′ movie where they run over the old people, yeah, that sounds good, too.” John Kyl could have tweeted from the meeting, “Got it… Let them eat cake.” Anything. They didn’t have to come up with something that would have actually been successful – we wouldn’t want to put that kind of pressure on any of our lawmakers. Instead of any proposal at all, half-baked or not, we got “Well, we have a better understanding of each others’ views now.”

Stepping back a bit from the hyperbole, the committee had every chance to “go big.” Instead of $1.2 trillion over 10 years, it could have been $5 trillion or so (our annual budget deficit, the amount we go further in the whole each year, is about $1.4 trillion). They could have taken the Simpson-Bowles plan, maybe made a few nips and tucks here and there, and put it before Congress. They wouldn’t even have to do any of the intellectual heavy lifting there, since the math was already done. They just had to have the spines to do it.

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AmericansElect.org “One Year in Washington”

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Online push for 3rd-party candidate – Tim Mak – POLITICO.com

Online push for 3rd-party candidate – Tim Mak – POLITICO.com.

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Credit Where Credit is (Perhaps) Due

Over the past year, President Obama has achieved what can be objectively viewed as a number of foreign policy success, most notably in the United States’ ongoing War on Terror. Osama Bin Laden, on the run since 9/11, was killed in a raid specifically authorized by Obama. Anwar al-Awlaki, a top Al Qaeda chief of Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula was killed by a drone strike. U.S. forces in Iraq will be leaving that country by the end of the year, concluding the nine-year-long war in that country. Without a loss of a single American life, and at a cost that amounts to the pocket change of our wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the U.S. has been instrumental in the defeat, and subsequent killing, of Muammar Gaddafi in Libya.

All this would point to a positive view of the President’s foreign policy, and indeed it appears that polls conducted recently show that Americans mostly view the Obama administration’s work abroad in a favorable light. Republican candidates and pundits are, unsurprisingly, less than willing praise the President’s accomplishments. Is this simple politics, as the liberal-leaning talking heads would have us believe, or is there merit to the criticism of Obama’s foreign policy maneuvers?

I’ll start with Iraq. The war there has dragged on for nine years, at significant cost in blood and treasure. The Bush administration reach an agreement with the government there to withdraw troops by the end of the year. It would seem that we are, if anything, behind schedule in our withdrawal from Iraq. However, until very recently, the administration was attempting to negotiate a status of forces agreement with Iraq’s government to leave some troops there to assist in maintaining order as that country continues to rebuild itself. Those negotiations having failed, we will leave behind an embassy, some military trainers and, according to different estimates, somewhere between 5,000-15,000 armed contractors.

The concern is that vacuum left by the U.S. military presence leaves room for Iran to exert even more influence in the fledgling democracy. There is a precedent here. Great Britain’s military presence in the region during the 1920′s was cut short due to the “Quit Mesopotamia” campaign fostered, in large part, by the British press. Iraq, then as possibly now, was too weak to support itself from outside influence, and fell victim to an insurgency comprised of the different ethnic groups that still populate the area. Ultimately, Iraq opened back channels to Berlin during World War II, and had to be re-invaded by Allied powers. Stability (of sorts) finally came to the country courtesy of Saddam Hussein in the 1970′s.

The killing of bin Laden is a high point on just about everyone in the western world’s list. While even the Republican’s aren’t claiming a misjudgment on Obama’s part, they are quick to point out that, while Obama may have pulled the trigger so to speak, he was only able to as a result of policies and undertakings of the Bush administration. In essence, Obama is actually taking credit for something that the Bush should get credit for. To the Democrats, it’s much simpler – Bush couldn’t get the guy, Obama did.

Anwar al-Awlaki is an interesting case. While Republicans don’t have a problem with taking him out, there are some, mostly on the left, that have voiced concern over the targeting killing of an American citizen, albeit one committed to jihad. In this instance, there is criticism, just not from Republicans.

That leaves Libya, which is similar to Iraq in that, while the consensus is that it is good to be rid of a tyrant, the problem is now, “What next?” There is no guarantee that a west-friendly democracy will rise out of the ashes of the Gaddafi regime and much of the reporting on the situation there suggest that various radical elements unfriendly to the United States are looking the exert control over the country and its new government. Added to that are concerns that tens of thousands of man-portable, shoulder-fired missiles capable of downing commercial aircraft (at low altitudes) are unaccounted for. The U.S., not having a military presence on the ground in Libya, has little ability to seek out these missing weapons and see that they are not funneled to radical groups who would use them for evil purposes.

While the Obama administration should be lauded for its commitment to our national defense, the criticisms and warnings coming from conservatives are not simply political attacks without substance. The concerns, especially regarding Iraq and Libya, are real. While I don’t expect the Republicans to actually accord President Obama due credit for foreign policy successes, the problems some are raising should not be dismissed as empty rhetoric.

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Washington Post/Bloomberg GOP Debate

The GOP Presidential candidates were back at it on Tuesday night for the fourth televised Republican debate. The field has solidified now, with New Jersey Governor Chris Christie officially not running, and Sarah Palin having opted out of the race as well. Mitt Romney again had the most solid showing, with none of the candidates doing much, in my opinion, to change their status.

Michele Bachmann and Rick Santorum, are not doing enough to get themselves into the race. It looks like Bachmann’s star has fallen for good, and I don’t see Santorum gaining any ground on the leaders. He just doesn’t seem to be able to separate himself, or offer anything new enough, to garner much attention. Ron Paul is also unlikely to gain voters as time goes on. He continued his career-long rant against the Federal Reserve, but such slightly more wonkish issues are unlikely to stir the passions of the electorate. He will always have his followers, but won’t win many more throughout the course of the debates.

Rick Perry came to the economics-only debate and promptly promised to put out an economics plan in the coming days. Perhaps he wanted to wait until after the debate, so he wouldn’t have to defend a plan he had only recently put together. So, instead of wowing the viewers with a competently laid-out path to financial and economic prosperity, he continually directed questions back to his plan to create more energy sector jobs. As if every state is Texas.

Jon Huntsman, still badly trailing in the polls, mercifully made fewer jokes and finally got a laugh with one of them – a reference to Herman Cain’s “9-9-9″ plan as the price of a pizza. He did manage, on occasion, to play the serious governor-cum-ambassador card, sounding like he actually understands foreign and trade policies. I’d like to hear more of this type of talk from him at these outings, instead of his inexplicable insistence to prove to the nation that he has a sense of humor.

The debate was punctuated by Newt Gingrich outbursts. Silent for lengthy periods, it seemed he would wake up and deliver something important, like reminding the crowd that the “trigger cuts” threatened by the debt ceiling compromise are an act of Congress and can be repealed like any other, even if the super committee appointed to trim federal spending fails in its task. Unfortunately, his biggest swat of the night was his worst, suggesting that Barney Frank and Chris Dodd should go to jail as a result of their efforts to re-regulate Wall Street.

Herman Cain is currently the surprise of the campaign, and it showed in the relish that the other candidates took in attacking his “9-9-9″ plan. He defended it to the best of his ability, but I can’t help but think that there’s not much substance to the plan. My concerns were echoed in a (much better stated, well thought-out, and actually researched) Washington Post article today. With all the attention heaped on the plan, Cain is either getting much needed publicity, or subjecting a bad plan to a lot of close scrutiny.

That just leaves Mitt Romney, still the front runner despite a few recent polls showing Cain at the top, having the best debate of the group. He’s not exciting, but he defended his Massachusetts healthcare plan well when attacked by Perry, and he also answered adeptly when accused of cutting jobs and breaking apart businesses in his private sector days.

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Viable Independent Ticket for 2012?

AmericansElect.org is attempting to add a third major ticket to the 2012 Presidential ticket. The organization is well past the halfway mark of required signatures in its bid to put a presidential and vice-presidential candidate, elected in a primary in June 2012 by the public, into the general election in November of 2012. The idea is to put forward candidates that are not chosen along strictly partisan lines.

Please visit www.Americanselect.org for more information and to add your signature. It does not require to you to vote for any particular candidate or party and you can sign their petition if you are a Republican or a Democrat as well.

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Thoughts on the Second GOP Debate, part II

Herman Cain seems content to push his ideas as a businessman, and not go after his opponents. He gets a lot of applause for his emphasis on business, and his hardscrabble background. I don’t seem him gaining enough traction, however. His 9-9-9 plan sounds nice, and fits in with the “If 10% is good enough for God…” crowd, but I have yet to see anything that backs up his assertions that it would provide a way out of the hole that we’ve dug ourselves.

As for Rick Santorum, he took the swings he could, but it seemed like he was only able to pile on when another candidate had made a point. Most notably, he joined up with Michele Bachmann to attack Rick Perry’s HPV vaccine mandate. He also talked quite a bit about his willingness to speak the truth, but didn’t seem to really get the crowd behind his record of winning elections in Democratic-leaning areas.

Continue reading

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